Figures · January initialization · FMAM and its months

Figures show the national aggregate (All Ethiopia) or per-cell maps of the whole country.

Figure Screening summary: CRPSS and RPSS by method and target, with screening marksConfirmation: blended RPSS and amount CRPSS through the full pipelineConfirmation: reliability of the blended probabilities (season)Confirmation: method chosen each year by the selection-aware proceduresCRPSS per cell (leave-one-year-out, all observed years; descriptive)CRPSS difference from the operational MVS per cell (descriptive)Rank histograms (reliability of the corrected ensemble)Distribution of the corrected members against CHIRPSEvery 2026 member after each correction, at three cells2026 corrected ensemble mean, % of normal, by method Target FebMarAprMayFMAM Open full size